NXT Gold Rush 2025 Week 1 promises a stacked night of championship action, with four title matches and several storylines reaching boiling point. Taking place on November 18, 2025, this special NXT event is expected to draw huge interest from fans and bettors alike. Below is a complete betting preview with projected odds (unofficial), match analysis, momentum trends and predicted winners.
NXT Women’s Championship: Tatum Paxley (c) vs Jacy Jayne – Last Chance Match
This heated rivalry between Tatum Paxley and Jacy Jayne reaches its final chapter as Jayne gets one last opportunity to capture the NXT Women’s Championship. The storyline has centered around Paxley leading The Culling and Jayne representing Fatal Influence.
Projected Odds (1xBet)
Tatum Paxley to Retain: 1.13
Jacy Jayne to Win: 2.13
Prediction
Paxley is still building her reign, making a successful defense the more likely outcome. Expect interference and drama to push the feud forward.
Pick: Tatum Paxley retains
NXT Women’s North American Championship: Blake Monroe (c) vs Sol Ruca
This is one of the most emotional matches of the night. Sol Ruca, who never lost the title but was forced to vacate due to injury, finally gets her comeback opportunity against current champion Blake Monroe.
Projected Odds (1xBet)
Blake Monroe to Retain: 1.1
Sol Ruca to Win: 6.0
Prediction
WWE could go either way, but early in the feud, a retaining champion is the safer call. Expect a competitive match with potential outside involvement.
Pick: Blake Monroe retains (upset potential high)
NXT Tag Team Championship: DarkState (c) vs Je’Von Evans & Leon Slater
The newly crowned DarkState defend their NXT Tag Titles against two of NXT’s most explosive young stars, Je’Von Evans and Leon Slater. Both challengers are being positioned as future main-event talents.
Projected Odds (1xBet)
DarkState to Retain: 1.13
Evans & Slater to Win: 3.3
Prediction
This will likely be a high-paced, athletic match designed to showcase the challengers. However, the champions should survive to strengthen their reign.
Pick: DarkState retain
AAA World Mixed Tag Team Championship: Ethan Page & Chelsea Green (c) vs Joe Hendry & Thea Hail
NXT hosts a rare cross-promotion title match as the recently crowned Ethan Page & Chelsea Green defend the AAA Mixed Tag Titles against the charismatic pairing of Joe Hendry & Thea Hail.
Projected Odds (1xBet)
Page & Green to Retain: 1.23
Hendry & Hail to Win: 3.7
Prediction
A title change on NXT TV is possible but unlikely this early into the champions’ run. Expect a fun, crowd-pleasing match with strong near-falls.
Pick: Ethan Page & Chelsea Green retain
WWE Evolve Championship: Jackson Drake (c) vs Sean Legacy
The WWE Evolve Championship will be on the line at NXT Gold Rush 2025 when reigning champion Jackson Drake defends against long-time rival “Super” Sean Legacy. This is one of the most important men’s undercard matches across the two-week special, with major implications for WWE’s developmental hierarchy.
Projected odds (1xBet)
Jackson Drake to retain Evolve Championship: 2.4
Sean Legacy to win Evolve Championship: 1.5
Pick: Jackson Drake to retain the WWE Evolve Championship at NXT Gold Rush 2025.
WWE Evolve Women’s Championship: Kendal Grey (c) vs Lainey Reid
The WWE Evolve Women’s Championship will also be defended at NXT Gold Rush 2025, as reigning champion Kendal Grey puts her title on the line against Lainey Reid of Fatal Influence. This match adds even more stakes for the faction, with Lainey trying to join Jacy Jayne in walking out of Madison Square Garden with championship gold.
Grey captured the Evolve Women’s Title from Kali Armstrong at the Succession special, marking the first title change in WWE Evolve history, and has since turned back challengers like Lash Legend to establish herself as the clear top star of the division.
Reid, meanwhile, forced this match into existence after slapping Grey backstage on NXT, triggering a brawl and leading to the announcement of their title clash at Gold Rush.
Projected Odds (1xBet)
Kendal Grey to retain: ~ 1.33
Lainey Reid to win the title: ~ 3
Pick: Kendal Grey to retain the WWE Evolve Women’s Championship.
WWE Speed Championship, Women: Zaria vs Fallon Henley
Zaria and Fallon Henley will face off in the final of the Women’s Speed Championship tournament, with the vacant belt on the line. The title was vacated by previous champion Sol Ruca due to injury.
Projected Odds (1xBet)
Zaria to win: 1.65
Fallon Henley to win: 2.1
Pick: Zaria winning the Women’s Speed Championship
TNA Knockouts World Championship: Kelani Jordan vs Xia Li vs Jordynne Grace
Kelani Jordan defended the Knockouts title after turning heel and now faces two top challengers: veteran powerhouse Jordynne Grace, and Lee, who wants to restore honour to the championship. The triple-threat is officially set for NXT Gold Rush 2025.
Projected Odds (1xBet)
Kelani Jordan retains: 1.22
Jordynne Grace wins: 2.5
Léi Yǐng Lee wins: 2.5
Overall NXT Gold Rush 2025 Betting Tips
Safest Picks: Ethan Page & Chelsea Green, DarkState
Moderate-Risk Pick: Tatum Paxley
Most Likely Upset: Sol Ruca
Best Value Bet: Sol Ruca by underdog win
Week 1 of NXT Gold Rush looks designed to strengthen current champions while building momentum for Week 2. For bettors, favorites should dominate the night, with only one genuine upset scenario in play.
